Preseason Rankings
Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#300
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#174
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#306
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#274
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 6.4% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.2 15.5
.500 or above 17.5% 48.3% 17.0%
.500 or above in Conference 27.2% 45.9% 26.9%
Conference Champion 2.7% 5.9% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 28.3% 17.2% 28.5%
First Four1.0% 0.1% 1.0%
First Round1.7% 6.4% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 1.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.50.0 - 1.5
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.50.1 - 3.0
Quad 20.2 - 2.20.2 - 5.2
Quad 31.8 - 6.62.1 - 11.8
Quad 49.1 - 8.011.2 - 19.8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 31   @ St. John's L 64-83 2%    
  Nov 11, 2018 276   Dartmouth L 68-70 55%    
  Nov 13, 2018 351   Delaware St. W 72-63 87%    
  Nov 16, 2018 72   @ Temple L 63-78 5%    
  Nov 19, 2018 336   @ Detroit Mercy W 79-75 55%    
  Nov 20, 2018 240   Hampton L 73-76 38%    
  Nov 25, 2018 237   @ Towson L 67-70 29%    
  Dec 01, 2018 331   Mount St. Mary's W 69-65 73%    
  Dec 05, 2018 280   @ Drexel L 72-74 35%    
  Dec 08, 2018 269   @ Binghamton L 67-69 35%    
  Dec 11, 2018 32   @ Maryland L 61-80 3%    
  Dec 21, 2018 306   @ Umass Lowell W 77-76 42%    
  Dec 28, 2018 38   @ North Carolina St. L 68-86 3%    
  Jan 03, 2019 206   Holy Cross L 62-67 43%    
  Jan 06, 2019 185   @ Lehigh L 71-78 21%    
  Jan 09, 2019 293   @ Lafayette L 72-73 38%    
  Jan 12, 2019 216   Army L 71-76 45%    
  Jan 16, 2019 223   Boston University L 68-72 47%    
  Jan 19, 2019 206   @ Holy Cross L 62-67 25%    
  Jan 23, 2019 171   @ Bucknell L 70-78 19%    
  Jan 26, 2019 209   Colgate L 67-72 44%    
  Jan 30, 2019 242   American L 68-71 49%    
  Feb 02, 2019 260   @ Navy L 65-67 33%    
  Feb 06, 2019 171   Bucknell L 70-78 36%    
  Feb 09, 2019 209   @ Colgate L 67-72 26%    
  Feb 13, 2019 242   @ American L 68-71 30%    
  Feb 17, 2019 293   Lafayette L 72-73 59%    
  Feb 21, 2019 260   Navy L 65-67 54%    
  Feb 23, 2019 223   @ Boston University L 68-72 28%    
  Feb 27, 2019 216   @ Army L 71-76 27%    
  Mar 02, 2019 185   Lehigh L 71-78 38%    
Projected Record 11.2 - 19.8 6.6 - 11.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.1 4.0 1.6 0.2 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.4 2.5 0.5 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.4 5.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 16.9 9th
10th 0.8 2.9 5.3 5.8 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 20.2 10th
Total 0.8 2.9 5.8 8.4 10.1 11.6 11.7 11.0 10.5 8.7 6.7 4.7 3.2 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 91.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 63.9% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
13-5 39.7% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 10.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 73.0% 73.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 38.0% 38.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 30.1% 30.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.1% 26.8% 26.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
13-5 2.0% 13.1% 13.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
12-6 3.2% 9.0% 9.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.9
11-7 4.7% 4.9% 4.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.4
10-8 6.7% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.4
9-9 8.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.5
8-10 10.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.4
7-11 11.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.9
6-12 11.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.6
5-13 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
4-14 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.1
3-15 8.4% 8.4
2-16 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.8
1-17 2.9% 2.9
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%